We all made our predictions and picks for the Oscars, but every year more and more voters seem eager to spill the tea and share their votes with whoever will listen. This year, I rounded up as many as I could find to see what they reveal about the state of the race.

Based on thirty-three of them from five publications and a couple from seemingly-trustworthy Redditors in r/oscarrace here’s what we’re looking at — Anora not only has the most votes, it also runs away with it when preferential ballots are taken into account. While these look clear, there’s definitely some room for surprises down the ballot.

Category	Winner	Vote Counts
Picture	Anora	Anora:9; Conclave:5; The Brutalist:5; Wicked:4; Nickel Boys:2; A Complete Unknown:2; Dune: Part Two:2; The Substance:2; Emilia Pérez:2
Directing	Anora	Anora:14; The Brutalist:8; Emilia Pérez:4; The Substance:4; A Complete Unknown:3
Actor	Adrien Brody	Adrien Brody:12; Timothée Chalamet:9; Ralph Fiennes:4; Colman Domingo:4; Sebastian Stan:4
Supporting Actor	Kieran Culkin	Kieran Culkin:11; Jeremy Strong:8; Edward Norton:6; Yura Borisov:6; Guy Pearce:2
Actress	Demi Moore	Demi Moore:11; Mikey Madison:9; Fernanda Torres:7; Karla Sofía Gascón:3; Cynthia Erivo:2
Supporting Actress	Zoe Saldaña	Zoe Saldaña:12; Monica Barbaro:7; Isabella Rossellini:6; Felicity Jones:5; Ariana Grande:3
Original Screenplay	Anora	Anora:14; September 5:5; The Substance:4; The Brutalist:3; A Real Pain:3
Adapted Screenplay	Nickel Boys	Nickel Boys:10; Conclave:9; Sing Sing:5; Emilia Pérez:4; A Complete Unknown:1
Cinematography	The Brutalist	The Brutalist:6; Dune: Part Two:5; Maria:5; Nosferatu:3; Emilia Pérez:2
Film Editing	Conclave	Conclave:6; Wicked:5; The Brutalist:4; Anora:4; Emilia Pérez:3
Animated Feature	Flow	Flow:10; The Wild Robot:7; Inside Out 2:3; Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl:1; Memoir Of A Snail:1
Documentary Feature	No Other Land	No Other Land:8; Soundtrack To A Coup D’etat:3; Sugarcane:2; Porcelain War:2; Black Box Diaries:1
International Feature	I’m Still Here	I’m Still Here:14; Emilia Pérez:5; The Seed Of The Sacred Fig:3; Flow:2; The Girl With The Needle:1
Costume Design	Wicked	Wicked:9; Nosferatu:5; A Complete Unknown:4; Conclave:3; Gladiator Ii:1
Production Design	Wicked (tie) Dune: Part Two	Wicked:6; Dune: Part Two:6; The Brutalist:4; Nosferatu:3; Conclave:2
Makeup and Hairstyling	The Substance	The Substance:11; Wicked:5; Emilia Pérez:2; Nosferatu:2; A Different Man:1
Visual Effects	Dune: Part Two	Dune: Part Two:15; Kingdom Of The Planet Of The Apes:5; Better Man:2; Wicked:1
Sound	Dune: Part Two	Dune: Part Two:10; A Complete Unknown:7; Wicked:3; Emilia Pérez:1; The Wild Robot:1
Original Score	The Brutalist	The Brutalist:8; The Wild Robot:5; Emilia Pérez:3; Conclave:3; Wicked:3
Original Song	El Mal	El Mal:8; Like A Bird:7; The Journey:4; Mi Camino:1; Never Too Late:1
Documentary Short	Incident	Incident:7; The Only Girl In The Orchestra:2; I Am Ready, Warden:1
Animated Short	Yuck! (tie) Magic Candies	Yuck!:3; Magic Candies:3; In The Shadow Of The Cypress:2; Wander To Wonder:1; Beautiful Men:1
Live Action Short	I’m Not A Robot	I’m Not A Robot:4; The Last Ranger:3; A Lien:2; The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent:1; Anuja:1

As you can see, just like our predictions, there’s a lot less data for the short films (where the winner is “abstain” in all categories. “Abstain” also comes in second place for Documentary Feature, making these a real toss up. Others are blank because more mainstream publications only asked voters about popular categories.

Sources:

• Entertainment Weekly: EW-Director, EW-Writer, EW-Publicist, EW-Casting
• Gold Derby: GoldDerby-1, GoldDerby-2, GoldDerby-3, GoldDerby-4, GoldDerby-5, GoldDerby-6
• The Hollywood Reporter: THR-1
• IndieWire: IndieWire-1, IndieWire-2
• Next Best Picture: NBP-1, NBP-2, NBP-3, NBP-4, NBP-5, NBP-6, NBP-7, NBP-8,
• Variety: Variety-1, Variety-2, Variety-3, Variety-4, Variety-5, Variety-6, Variety-7, Variety-8, Variety-9, Variety-10
• Reddit: Reddit-1, Reddit-2